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Olamide Zaccheaus

Olamide Zaccheaus Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Olamide Zaccheaus Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1650/-5750).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2800 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -5750.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is implied by the Bears being an enormous -7-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Chicago Bears have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.2 plays per game.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Bears grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Bears to be the 7th-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 48.2% red zone run rate.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being projected in this game) generally mean decreased passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and increased run volume.
  • The projections expect Olamide Zaccheaus to be a much smaller part of his offense's passing game near the end zone this week (6.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (18.6% in games he has played).
  • Olamide Zaccheaus's 68.0% Adjusted Catch% this year represents a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last year's 72.3% figure.
  • This year, the daunting Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded a puny 63.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the lowest rate in football.

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