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Olamide Zaccheaus

Olamide Zaccheaus Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Baltimore Ravens vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Olamide Zaccheaus Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/+101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -186 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +101.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (38.7 per game) this year.
  • Olamide Zaccheaus's 33.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 26.3.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears ranks as the 9th-best in football this year.
  • The Ravens pass defense has been gouged for the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (67.1%) to wide receivers this year (67.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 58.5% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL has been the Chicago Bears.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projections to run 66.3 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Olamide Zaccheaus's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 72.3% to 63.8%.

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