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Olamide Zaccheaus

Olamide Zaccheaus Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Olamide Zaccheaus Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Bears to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Bears have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 61.9 plays per game.
  • The Green Bay Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (36.1 per game) this year.
  • Olamide Zaccheaus has gone out for fewer passes this year (56.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (45.7%).
  • The Bears offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bears to pass on 54.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
  • Olamide Zaccheaus's 64.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a meaningful decline in his receiving ability over last season's 72.3% rate.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay's safety corps has been very good this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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