Olamide Zaccheaus Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-165).
Key Factors
Favors Over
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
Olamide Zaccheaus has been a more important option in his team's passing attack this year (15.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (9.6%).
The Atlanta Falcons O-line grades out as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Olamide Zaccheaus's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Completion% jumping from 62.6% to 76.2%.
Favors Under
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 52.8 plays per game.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (61.4%) versus wideouts this year (61.4%).
The Atlanta Falcons O-line has allowed their quarterback just 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.