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Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the 7th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.63 seconds per play.Olamide Zaccheaus has been a much smaller piece of his team's offense this year, staying in the game for just 38.6% of snaps vs 70.4% last year.The Eagles O-line profiles as the best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.The Washington Commanders pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency against wideouts since the start of last season, conceding 9.09 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in football.The Commanders pass defense has struggled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.91 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-most in the NFL.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Philadelphia Eagles boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).The Eagles are a heavy 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.Opposing QBs have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season: 4th-fewest in the NFL.As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Washington's collection of CBs has been phenomenal since the start of last season, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.
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