Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Olamide Zaccheaus

NFL · Player Props

Olamide Zaccheaus

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving TD

Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 5:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+380/-782).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +419 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +380.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Olamide Zaccheaus to be much more involved in his team's passing attack near the end zone this week (12.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (6.9% in games he has played).
Olamide Zaccheaus's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 62.5% to 81.6%.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (71.6%) versus WRs this year (71.6%).
The Chicago Bears cornerbacks rank as the 3rd-worst CB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in football.
The Chicago Bears defense has surrendered the 6th-least TDs through the air in the league to wideouts: 0.60 per game this year.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.

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