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Olamide Zaccheaus

Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 11

Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+380/-782).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +419 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +380.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Olamide Zaccheaus to be much more involved in his team's passing attack near the end zone this week (12.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (6.9% in games he has played).
  • Olamide Zaccheaus's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 62.5% to 81.6%.
  • The Chicago Bears pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (71.6%) versus WRs this year (71.6%).
  • The Chicago Bears cornerbacks rank as the 3rd-worst CB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in football.
  • The Chicago Bears defense has surrendered the 6th-least TDs through the air in the league to wideouts: 0.60 per game this year.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.

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