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Odell Beckham Jr.

Odell Beckham Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins

Odell Beckham Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins as the 9th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 59.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Dolphins have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.8 plays per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Odell Beckham Jr.'s 16.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 41.7.

Odell Beckham Jr.'s receiving skills have worsened this season, totaling a measly 1.2 adjusted catches vs 2.6 last season.

Odell Beckham Jr.'s possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 58.4% to 47.7%.

The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

More Odell Beckham Jr. Player Props

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