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Odell Beckham Jr.

Odell Beckham Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Rams vs Miami Dolphins

Odell Beckham Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +170 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Los Angeles Rams linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dolphins to pass on 57.2% of their chances: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the model to call just 63.3 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Rams, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 31.0 per game) this year.

Odell Beckham Jr.'s 10.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 41.7.

With a poor 57.5% Adjusted Completion Rate (16th percentile) since the start of last season, Odell Beckham Jr. rates as one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to wide receivers.

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