Odell Beckham Jr. Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Odell Beckham Jr.

NFL · Player Props

Odell Beckham Jr.

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 7:31 PM EST

Analysis

Odell Beckham Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-104/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (76.8%) versus wide receivers this year (76.8%).
The Titans linebackers project as the 6th-worst group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

With a 5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to pass on 52.2% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 63.2 total plays in this contest: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.

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