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Odell Beckham Jr.

Odell Beckham Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Odell Beckham Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-104/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • The Tennessee Titans pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (76.8%) versus wide receivers this year (76.8%).
  • The Titans linebackers project as the 6th-worst group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to pass on 52.2% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 63.2 total plays in this contest: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.

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