|
|
Odell Beckham Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -110.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
The Dolphins may lean on the pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Tyler Huntley.This week's line implies a passing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3-point underdogs.The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (a monstrous 62.8 per game on average).This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
The model projects the Dolphins to be the 5th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 57.2% pass rate.The model projects Odell Beckham Jr. to be much less involved in his team's passing offense in this game (5.2% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (15.1% in games he has played).In regards to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Miami Dolphins profiles as the 6th-worst in football this year.Odell Beckham Jr. ranks as one of the most unreliable receivers in football, catching a measly 57.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 14th percentile among wide receiversAs it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Indianapolis's collection of CBs has been excellent this year, ranking as the 7th-best in the league.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
