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Odell Beckham Jr.

Odell Beckham Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Odell Beckham Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins as the 9th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 59.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Dolphins have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.8 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Odell Beckham Jr. has notched quite a few less air yards this year (17.0 per game) than he did last year (66.0 per game).
  • Odell Beckham Jr.'s 16.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 41.7.
  • Odell Beckham Jr. has accumulated a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (9.0) this season than he did last season (39.0).
  • Odell Beckham Jr.'s possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 58.4% to 47.7%.
  • Odell Beckham Jr.'s receiving effectiveness has tailed off this year, compiling a mere 3.44 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.82 rate last year.

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