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Odell Beckham Jr.

Odell Beckham Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Rams vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Odell Beckham Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Los Angeles Rams linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dolphins to pass on 57.2% of their chances: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the model to call just 63.3 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Rams, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 31.0 per game) this year.
  • Odell Beckham Jr. has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (7.0 per game) than he did last year (66.0 per game).
  • Odell Beckham Jr.'s 10.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 41.7.

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