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Nyheim Hines

Nyheim Hines Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Nyheim Hines Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Colts are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 64.2 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Nyheim Hines to earn 5.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.
  • Nyheim Hines has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 13.4% this year, which ranks in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
  • Nyheim Hines has accumulated a colossal 4.0 air yards per game this year: 85th percentile among RBs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.33 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in football (73.9%) to running backs since the start of last season (73.9%).
  • The Denver Broncos safeties profile as the 10th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Denver Broncos have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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