Nyheim Hines Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Nyheim Hines

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 6, 2022 11:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Nyheim Hines Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 64.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Nyheim Hines to earn 5.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.
Nyheim Hines has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 13.4% this year, which ranks in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
Nyheim Hines has accumulated a colossal 4.0 air yards per game this year: 85th percentile among RBs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.33 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in football (73.9%) to running backs since the start of last season (73.9%).
The Denver Broncos safeties profile as the 10th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Denver Broncos have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.