My Account Log Out

reorder

Noah Gray

Noah Gray Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

New York Giants vs Kansas City Chiefs

Noah Gray Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+450/-580).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -740 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -580.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to pass on 61.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 64.5% red zone pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to run the 10th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 58.9 plays per game.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

Noah Gray's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 85.0% to 40.3%.

The Giants defense has allowed the 6th-fewest receiving touchdowns in the NFL to tight ends: 0.26 per game since the start of last season.

More Noah Gray Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™