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Noah Gray Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

Noah Gray Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+600/-1050).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1050.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 63.0% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (63.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Chiefs.

The Chiefs have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense this year: 3rd-most in football.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Chiefs profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have only 128.7 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.

Noah Gray has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (13.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).

Noah Gray's 12.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 19.5.

Noah Gray's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 85.0% to 60.2%.

More Noah Gray Player Props

Noah Gray TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

Noah Gray Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12