reorder

Noah Gray Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

Noah Gray Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+710/-950).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +780 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +710.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.

Right now, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football in the red zone (63.2% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Chiefs.

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to run the 2nd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 4 points.

Noah Gray has notched quite a few less air yards this year (13.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).

Noah Gray's 12.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 19.5.

Noah Gray's 59.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this year marks a noteable reduction in his receiving talent over last year's 85.0% figure.

Noah Gray grades out in the 1st percentile among TEs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.

More Noah Gray Player Props

Noah Gray TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

Noah Gray Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11