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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

Noah Gray Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-222).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -147 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -222.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year.

The Las Vegas Raiders safeties rank as the worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a giant 13-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Noah Gray's 11.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 19.5.

Noah Gray's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 85.0% to 65.5%.

This year, the formidable Las Vegas Raiders defense has conceded a meager 69.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 6th-best rate in the NFL.

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