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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

Noah Gray Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+122/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +178 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 64.3% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-slowest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 29.02 seconds per snap.

Noah Gray's 11.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 19.5.

Noah Gray's receiving performance has diminished this season, averaging a mere 1.5 adjusted receptions vs 2.5 last season.

Noah Gray's 61.0% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a remarkable diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last season's 85.0% rate.

The Detroit Lions pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (60.9%) to tight ends this year (60.9%).

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