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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Noah Gray Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +114 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 65.5% of their plays: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 59.2 plays per game.
  • The Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • Noah Gray is positioned as one of the best possession receivers in football among tight ends, completing a stellar 85.3% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Eagles defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the league.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (70.1%) versus TEs since the start of last season (70.1%).
  • The Eagles linebackers rank as the 5th-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

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