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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Noah Gray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-112/-112).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The Chiefs have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 52.0 plays per game.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year.
  • The Bills linebackers profile as the 7th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see only 124.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Buffalo Bills, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 28.7 per game) this year.
  • After accumulating 21.0 air yards per game last year, Noah Gray has seen a big decrease this year, currently averaging 12.0 per game.
  • Noah Gray's 13.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 19.5.
  • Noah Gray's 14.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season conveys a material decline in his pass-catching skills over last season's 30.0 figure.

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