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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Kansas City Chiefs vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Noah Gray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 134.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The Chiefs have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 59.4 plays per game.
  • The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • With an excellent 4.29 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Noah Gray has been among the best TE receiving threats in football in the open field.
  • This year, the deficient Commanders pass defense has allowed a colossal 84.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 5th-highest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a big 10.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Noah Gray has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (9.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).
  • Noah Gray's 10.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 19.5.
  • Noah Gray's 13.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season represents an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last season's 30.0 rate.

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