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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Noah Gray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders safeties rank as the worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a giant 13-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Noah Gray has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (8.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).
  • Noah Gray's 11.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 19.5.
  • Noah Gray has put up many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (9.0) this year than he did last year (30.0).

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