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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Noah Gray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-118/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 64.3% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.
  • With an outstanding 4.57 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Noah Gray rates among the best pass-game TEs in football in space.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-slowest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 29.02 seconds per snap.
  • After averaging 21.0 air yards per game last season, Noah Gray has produced significantly fewer this season, now pacing 8.0 per game.
  • Noah Gray's 11.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 19.5.
  • Noah Gray's 6.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season signifies a substantial diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 30.0 figure.
  • Noah Gray's 61.0% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a remarkable diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last season's 85.0% rate.

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