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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

Noah Gray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-118/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 3rd-quickest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Chiefs.

The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (38.5 per game) since the start of last season.

The Kansas City O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

With a stellar 4.67 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (75th percentile) since the start of last season, Noah Gray stands as one of the top pass-catching tight ends in the NFL in the open field.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Noah Gray's possession skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 85.0% to 56.6%.

Noah Gray's pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this year, notching a measly 2.61 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.88 rate last year.

The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 7th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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