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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New York Giants vs Kansas City Chiefs

Noah Gray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-107/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to pass on 61.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to run the 10th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 58.9 plays per game.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Chiefs grades out as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

Noah Gray's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 85.0% to 40.3%.

Noah Gray's receiving effectiveness has declined this season, totaling a mere 1.04 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.88 rate last season.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Giants pass defense has allowed the least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing tight ends: a mere 3.1 YAC.

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