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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles

Noah Gray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 65.5% of their plays: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 59.2 plays per game.

Noah Gray ranks in the 77th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season with a staggering 8.5% of his offense's air yards accumulated.

The Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

Noah Gray is positioned as one of the best possession receivers in football among tight ends, completing a stellar 85.3% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Eagles defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the league.

With a bad 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) since the start of last season, Noah Gray rates among the top TE receiving threats in the league in space.

The Eagles defense has yielded the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 34.0) vs. tight ends since the start of last season.

The Eagles pass defense has exhibited good efficiency vs. TEs since the start of last season, allowing 5.97 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

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