My Account Log Out
 
 
Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Noah Gray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-112/-112).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Kansas City Chiefs will be forced to start backup quarterback Chris Oladokun in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Chiefs are a massive 13.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 65.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 133.1 total plays run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Chiefs this year (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Noah Gray has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (13.0 per game) than he did last season (21.0 per game).
  • Noah Gray's 12.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 19.5.
  • Noah Gray has posted significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (13.0) this season than he did last season (30.0).
  • Noah Gray's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 85.0% to 59.2%.
  • Noah Gray's pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this season, averaging a mere 5.02 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.88 mark last season.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™