Noah Gray Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

Noah Gray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 63.0% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

The Chiefs have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense this year: 3rd-most in football.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Chiefs profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.

The Colts defense has given up the 4th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (68.0) to tight ends this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have only 128.7 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.

Noah Gray has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (13.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).

Noah Gray's 12.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 19.5.

Noah Gray has compiled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (12.0) this year than he did last year (30.0).

More Noah Gray Player Props

Noah Gray Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

Noah Gray Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12