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Noah Gray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-109/-115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -109.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chiefs to pass on 64.8% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week.Right now, the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs.Noah Gray grades out in the 79th percentile when it comes to TEs last year with an astounding 8.5% of his offense's air yards accumulated.As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL last year.Noah Gray ranks as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football among tight ends, completing a remarkable 85.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 94th percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 3 points.Last year, the daunting Los Angeles Chargers defense has yielded a puny 35.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing tight ends: the fewest in the league.Last year, the strong Chargers defense has yielded the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a feeble 6.2 yards.As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's collection of safeties has been excellent last year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.
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