Noah Gray Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Noah Gray

NFL · Player Props

Noah Gray

TE · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 11, 2024

Updated Nov 17, 2024 8:31 PM EST

Analysis

Noah Gray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a massive 61.3 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense this year: 9th-most in football.
Noah Gray has been responsible for a whopping 7.8% of his team's air yards this year: 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Chiefs ranks as the best in the league this year.

Favors Under

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have only 124.6 offensive plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.
Noah Gray has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this year, playing on 60.0% of snaps compared to just 49.9% last year.
This year, the formidable Buffalo Bills defense has surrendered the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a paltry 6.3 yards.
This year, the tough Bills pass defense has yielded the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing tight ends: a mere 4.0 YAC.

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