My Account Log Out
 
 
Noah Fant

Noah Fant Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Cincinnati Bengals vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Noah Fant Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+300/-310).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +300 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +300.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals may take to the air less in this week's game (and hand the ball off more) because they be rolling out backup quarterback Joe Flacco.
  • The projections expect the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.1% red zone pass rate.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see 132.1 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The projections expect Noah Fant to be a more important option in his offense's passing game near the goal line in this game (13.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (6.1% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The 5th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a mere 52.6 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 30.6 per game) this year.
  • Noah Fant has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (12.0 per game) than he did last year (26.0 per game).
  • Noah Fant's 18.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 27.5.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™