|
|
Noah Fant Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+590/-1000).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -720 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1000.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bengals are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual approach.Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 65.8% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week.Right now, the most pass-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (64.8% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Cincinnati Bengals.Our trusted projections expect the Bengals offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.24 seconds per snap.The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
After averaging 26.0 air yards per game last season, Noah Fant has fallen off this season, currently pacing 12.0 per game.Noah Fant's 15.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 27.5.The Bengals offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.This year, the strong Ravens defense has allowed a mere 0.23 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing TEs: the 3rd-best rate in the league.As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Baltimore's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
