Noah Fant Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Touchdowns

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 14, 2025

Updated Dec 7, 2025 9:07 PM UTC

Analysis

Noah Fant Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+790/-1700).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1600 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1700.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bengals are a 6-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bengals to pass on 60.0% of their plays: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-centric team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 65.2% red zone pass rate.
Noah Fant's 91.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a meaningful gain in his receiving prowess over last season's 76.7% figure.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bengals are expected by the projection model to call only 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game versus the Bills defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.
Noah Fant has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (11.0 per game) than he did last year (26.0 per game).
Noah Fant's 15.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 27.5.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Bengals profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year.

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