Noah Fant Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Touchdowns

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 13, 2025

Updated Nov 28, 2025 3:22 AM UTC

Analysis

Noah Fant Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+700/-1000).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -890 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1000.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bengals are a giant 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 66.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 65.5% red zone pass rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see 129.7 offensive plays called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (37.9 per game) this year.

Favors Under

The 7th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Bengals this year (a measly 54.2 per game on average).
After averaging 26.0 air yards per game last year, Noah Fant has seen a big downtick this year, currently pacing 12.0 per game.
Noah Fant's 16.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 27.5.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
This year, the fierce Ravens defense has yielded a measly 0.18 TDs through the air per game to opposing tight ends: the 3rd-lowest rate in football.

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