Noah Fant Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Touchdowns

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots · Week 12, 2025

Updated Nov 24, 2025 12:22 AM UTC

Analysis

Noah Fant Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+465/-495).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +465 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +465.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bengals may throw the ball less in this game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup quarterback Joe Flacco.
This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Bengals, who are giant -7.5-point underdogs.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 69.0% of their plays: the 2nd-greatest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.8% red zone pass rate.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to have 130.7 offensive plays called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.

Favors Under

The Bengals have called the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 53.7 plays per game.
After accumulating 26.0 air yards per game last season, Noah Fant has undergone a big decline this season, currently boasting 13.0 per game.
Noah Fant's 18.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 27.5.
When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.

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