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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Noah Fant Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-200).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bengals are projected by our trusted projection set to run 67.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Noah Fant's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 76.7% to 89.4%.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Arizona's group of safeties has been very bad this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Bengals, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
  • Noah Fant has been a less important option in his team's pass game this season (7.9% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (13.4%).
  • The Cincinnati O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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