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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Noah Fant Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bengals are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual approach.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 65.8% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bengals offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.24 seconds per snap.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year.
  • Noah Fant's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 76.7% to 89.4%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Noah Fant's 39.1% Route Participation Rate this season represents a substantial drop-off in his passing game utilization over last season's 69.6% mark.
  • The Bengals offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Baltimore's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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