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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Noah Fant Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 64.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

Noah Fant comes in as one of the best pass-catching TEs last year, averaging an outstanding 3.4 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 80th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense last year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect Noah Fant to be a much smaller piece of his team's pass attack in this contest (6.0% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (13.4% in games he has played).

The Cincinnati offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL last year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The Browns pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (69.6%) versus TEs last year (69.6%).

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