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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals may throw the ball less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to use backup quarterback Joe Flacco.
  • An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Bengals being an enormous -14-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bengals to pass on 68.5% of their opportunities: the highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Green Bay Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (42.0 per game) this year.
  • Noah Fant's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 76.7% to 85.9%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Bengals to call the 8th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Bengals have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 48.8 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with decreased passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.
  • After accruing 26.0 air yards per game last year, Noah Fant has significantly declined this year, currently pacing 11.0 per game.
  • Noah Fant's 19.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 27.5.

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