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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Cincinnati Bengals vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-113/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may drop.

The Jaguars defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (34.2 per game) since the start of last season.

Noah Fant has run a route on 68.5% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 80th percentile among TEs.

As it relates to air yards, Noah Fant grades out in the towering 81st percentile among TEs since the start of last season, averaging an astounding 25.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Bengals offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Noah Fant's pass-catching effectiveness has declined this year, totaling just 5.15 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.95 rate last year.

Noah Fant grades out as one of the bottom tight ends in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 2nd percentile.

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