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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-109/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bengals are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual approach.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 65.8% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bengals offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.24 seconds per snap.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year.
  • Noah Fant's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 76.7% to 89.4%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Noah Fant's 39.1% Route Participation Rate this season represents a substantial drop-off in his passing game utilization over last season's 69.6% mark.
  • After averaging 26.0 air yards per game last season, Noah Fant has fallen off this season, currently pacing 12.0 per game.
  • The Bengals offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • Noah Fant has posted many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (23.0) this year than he did last year (35.0).
  • Noah Fant's talent in picking up extra yardage have worsened this season, compiling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.73 mark last season.

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