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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals may pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Joe Flacco.
  • This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Bengals, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
  • The predictive model expects the Bengals to be the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 66.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 133.7 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
  • The Steelers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in the league (40.7 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.1 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Noah Fant has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (14.0 per game) than he did last season (26.0 per game).
  • Noah Fant's 17.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 27.5.
  • The Bengals O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all pass game stats across the board.

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