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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 64.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

As it relates to air yards, Noah Fant ranks in the towering 81st percentile among TEs last year, accruing a whopping 26.0 per game.

Noah Fant rates as one of the top tight ends in the pass game last year, averaging an exceptional 35.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 78th percentile.

With a fantastic 5.73 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (88th percentile) last year, Noah Fant places as one of the best pass-catching TEs in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense last year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect Noah Fant to be a much smaller piece of his team's pass attack in this contest (6.0% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (13.4% in games he has played).

The Cincinnati offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL last year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Last year, the tough Cleveland Browns defense has conceded a meager 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

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