Noah Fant Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 63.0% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate on the slate this week.
To the extent of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.60 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 10th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
Noah Fant grades out as one of the best pass-catching TEs this year, averaging a fantastic 33.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.

Favors Under

Noah Fant has accrued quite a few less air yards this year (18.0 per game) than he did last year (25.0 per game).
With a RATE1-RATE2 point regression in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) from last season to this one, Noah Fant has been relied on much less in his offense's passing attack.
This year, the stout Baltimore Ravens defense has yielded a puny 35.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
The Ravens pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. tight ends this year, surrendering 5.25 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in the league.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

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