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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Baltimore Ravens vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 63.0% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • To the extent of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.60 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 10th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
  • Noah Fant grades out as one of the best pass-catching TEs this year, averaging a fantastic 33.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Noah Fant has accrued quite a few less air yards this year (18.0 per game) than he did last year (25.0 per game).
  • With a RATE1-RATE2 point regression in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) from last season to this one, Noah Fant has been relied on much less in his offense's passing attack.
  • This year, the stout Baltimore Ravens defense has yielded a puny 35.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
  • The Ravens pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. tight ends this year, surrendering 5.25 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in the league.
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

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