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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-114/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to accumulate 4.5 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile among TEs.
  • The Seattle Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.
  • Noah Fant has been a much smaller piece of his team's air attack this year (11.8% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (18.5%).
  • Noah Fant has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (20.0 per game) than he did last season (35.0 per game).
  • Noah Fant has posted many fewer receiving yards per game (22.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).
  • Noah Fant's receiving efficiency has diminished this season, averaging just 6.29 yards-per-target compared to a 7.41 mark last season.

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