Noah Fant Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 9:11 PM EST

Analysis

Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-114/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to accumulate 4.5 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile among TEs.
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Seattle Seahawks have called the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.
Noah Fant has been a much smaller piece of his team's air attack this year (11.8% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (18.5%).
Noah Fant has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (20.0 per game) than he did last season (35.0 per game).
Noah Fant has posted many fewer receiving yards per game (22.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).
Noah Fant's receiving efficiency has diminished this season, averaging just 6.29 yards-per-target compared to a 7.41 mark last season.

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