Noah Fant Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 2:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-103/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to total 4.8 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among TEs.
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Noah Fant's talent in generating extra yardage have been refined this year, accumulating 7.96 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 4.10 figure last year.

Favors Under

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.9 plays per game.
Noah Fant has been a less important option in his offense's air attack this year (12.6% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (18.5%).
Noah Fant has notched far fewer air yards this season (22.0 per game) than he did last season (35.0 per game).
Noah Fant has totaled significantly fewer receiving yards per game (28.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered the 8th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 39.0) to tight ends this year.

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