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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Noah Fant Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+319/-588).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +342 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +319.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Noah Fant has been a key part of his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 14.8% this year, which ranks in the 83rd percentile among TEs.
  • The New York Giants linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The New York Giants pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.61 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the league). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.4 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in football.
  • Noah Fant has totaled significantly fewer air yards this season (23.0 per game) than he did last season (35.0 per game).
  • Noah Fant's 25.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 37.1.

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