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Noah Brown

Noah Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Noah Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-156).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders may throw the ball less in this contest (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, New York's CB corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the 9th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders as the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 52.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • As far as a defense's effect on pace, at 29.34 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 5th-slowest in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) usually lead to lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Noah Brown has been used less as a potential target this year (55.0% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (68.0%).
  • Noah Brown's 1.0 adjusted receptions per game this year illustrates a substantial regression in his receiving ability over last year's 3.1 rate.

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