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Noah Brown

Noah Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants

Noah Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders to call the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Commanders have run the 4th-most plays in football last year, totaling a massive 59.8 plays per game.

Last year, the deficient Giants pass defense has conceded a colossal 69.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 5th-worst rate in football.

The New York Giants safeties project as the 4th-worst collection of safeties in the league last year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 6 points.

Our trusted projections expect the Commanders as the 5th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Giants defense last year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

The model projects Noah Brown to be a less important option in his offense's pass attack this week (11.0% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (17.3% in games he has played).

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