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Noah Brown

Noah Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Green Bay Packers vs Washington Commanders

Noah Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 59.8 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may drop.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the league.

Noah Brown has been responsible for a colossal 25.0% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 79th percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 10th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

While Noah Brown has received 16.7% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in Washington's passing offense in this game at 11.0%.

Noah Brown ranks as one of the worst wideouts in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 1st percentile.

Since the start of last season, the tough Green Bay Packers defense has surrendered a feeble 127.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing WRs: the 6th-best in the NFL.

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